Wednesday, September 06, 2017

Financial Review - August, 2017

August was a marginally positive month for the portfolio with a mixture of small gains and losses and unfavourable FX movements producing a 0.62 percent increase in net assets.

For the year, the portfolio is up 14.62 percent. The adjusted change from when I retired in September 2013 is a 22.11 percent increase. Hong Kong liquidity stands at 25.74 months of estimated outgoings, well down on January's 38.6 months due to new investments + transfers to New Zealand.

Here are the details:

1. my Hong Kong equities increased slightly. I purchased a few additional shares in CCB (HK:939);

2. my AU/NZ equities fell with declines in Australia outweighing a small increase in New Zealand. There were no transactions this month;

3.my equity ETFs were up slightly (India, Hong Kong and China) in line with the local markets;

4. my position in silver increased;

5. all tenants are paying on time and all properties are let. Unfortunately, I will have a few repair bills this month, some of which are a result of the recent typhoons;

6. the AUD and NZD were were mixed with the AUD being flat and the NZD falling in response to pre-election jitters. I made an additional transfer to New Zealand;

7. my position in bonds remains modest. I have a margin facility in place and am looking to by some bonds on margin as a carry trade;

8. expenses were moderate as I took a trip to New Zealand to visit family.

My HK cash position fell during the month due to another transfer to New Zealand. I currently hold 25.7 months of expenses in HKD cash or equivalents (down from 38.6 months on 1 January).

I have revamped my spreadsheets to capture all debt (previously some accounts were entered on a net basis). Total household gearing ((debt+accruals)/assets) is 9.02% of total assets. Property prices are as at 1 January, 2017, so this overstates the gearing ratio.

I would like to make some additional investments but am struggling to find good value in the markets I follow. With expectations of further rises in interest rates muted, I remain tempted by the carry trade and would do one or two more should the right offers be available.

Tuesday, August 01, 2017

Financial Review - July, 2017

July was another good month for the portfolio with small gains across the board and favourable FX movements producing a 3.93 percent increase in net assets.

For the year, the portfolio is up 14.00 percent. The adjusted change from when I retired in September 2013 is a 21.14 percent increase. Hong Kong liquidity stands at 28.5 months of estimated outgoings, well down on January's 38.6 months due to new investments + a transfer to New Zealand but ahead of last month's due to high levels of dividends being received.

Here are the details:

1. my Hong Kong equities increased. I purchased some additional shares in GDI (HK:270);

2. my AU/NZ equities rose slightly. I purchased some additional shares in Colonial Motor Company (NZX: CMO);

3.my equity ETFs were up slightly (India, Hong Kong and China) in line with the local markets;

4. my position in silver was stable;

5. all tenants are paying on time and all properties are let;

6. the AUD and NZD were up against the HKD/USD. I made a small additional transfer to New Zealand;

7. my position in bonds remains small. I declined some offers as the spread between yield and cost of funds was too thin.

8. expenses were moderate as we took a short family holiday to Da Nang;

My HK cash position rose slightly during the month due to high level of dividends. I currently hold 28.5 months of expenses in HKD cash or equivalents (down from 38.6 months on 1 January).

I have revamped my spreadsheets to capture all debt (previously some accounts were entered on a net basis). Total household gearing ((debt+accruals)/assets) is 9.06% of total assets. Property prices are as at 1 January, 2017, so this overstates the gearing ratio.

I would like to make some additional investments but am struggling to find good value in the markets I follow. With expectations of further rises in interest rates muted, I remain tempted by the carry trade and would do one or two more should the right offers be available.

Friday, June 30, 2017

Financial Review - June, 2017

June was another good month for the portfolio with small gains across the board producing a 2.07 percent increase in net assets.

For the year, the portfolio is up 10.10%. The adjusted change from when I retired in September 2013 is a 17.12% increase. Hong Kong liquidity stands at 28.0 months of estimated outgoings, well down on January's 38.6 months due to new investments + a transfer to New Zealand but ahead of last month's after I sold some investments.

Here are the details:

1. my Hong Kong equities increased. I sold my shares in COSCO Ports (HK:1199) and a very small position in China New Economy Fund (HK:80). I reinvested some of the proceeds in Kowloon Development (HK:34) which offers a higher yield (around 7% on cost) and a significant discount to NAV which may or may not improve once legal uncertainty over a property development project in Macau is resolved. While I booked a profit on COSCO Ports, the company has been a serial underperformer which has failed to meet expectations either in terms of growth or dividend levels. The Fund was ditched at a small loss after it appeared in David Webb's list of "50 stocks not to own". This is a lesson in not doing sufficient due diligence - at the time I invested, NAV was above HK$0.80 and the shares were trading ago around HK$0.24. I did check the values of the listed shares in the fund's portfolio to ensure that their values had not fallen significantly but I did not look into the merits of those shares individually. As it turns out a significant number of the Fund's investments were also on the list and plunged spectacularly wiping out a significant amount of investor value;

2. my AU/NZ equities rose slightly. I purchased additional shares in Automative Holdings (ASX: AHG), believing the market had over-reacted to a slowdown in Australian car sales + potential changes to the way car's are finance in Australia. My expected yield on purchase price is above 6%;

3.my equity ETFs were up slightly (India, Hong Kong and China) in line with the local markets;

4. my position in silver fell;

5. all tenants are paying on time and all properties are let;

6. the AUD and NZD were up against the HKD/USD;

7. my position in bonds remains small but improved this month when I purchased some 1 year notes issued by part of the Hainan Airlines group using a margin facility - this is a carry trade.

8. expenses were low with no travelling and no other non-regular domestic bills incurred;

My HK cash position rose during the month due to sales of HK equities mentioned above. I currently hold 28.0 months of expenses in HKD cash or equivalents (down from 38.6 months on 1 January).

I have revamped my spreadsheets to capture all debt (previously some accounts were entered on a net basis). Total household gearing ((debt+accruals)/assets) is 9.28% of total assets. Property prices are as at 1 January, 2017, so this overstates the gearing ratio.

I would like to make some additional investments but am struggling to find good value in the markets I follow. With expectations of further rises in interest rates muted, I was tempted by the carry trade, and purchased the Hainan Airlines notes using a margin facility.